Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.337832e-03 0.001500 0.001662 0.001836 0.002017 0.002199 0.002397
2025-09-07 1.138722e-03 0.001377 0.001622 0.001892 0.002178 0.002472 0.002796
2025-09-14 9.284936e-04 0.001219 0.001527 0.001874 0.002250 0.002642 0.003078
2025-09-21 7.968402e-04 0.001132 0.001498 0.001918 0.002380 0.002867 0.003415
2025-09-28 7.107598e-04 0.001087 0.001507 0.001998 0.002544 0.003126 0.003785
2025-10-05 5.941901e-04 0.000995 0.001456 0.002004 0.002623 0.003287 0.004046
2025-10-12 5.083936e-04 0.000932 0.001431 0.002035 0.002724 0.003471 0.004328
2025-10-19 4.085153e-04 0.000840 0.001367 0.002016 0.002765 0.003584 0.004531
2025-10-26 3.314469e-04 0.000770 0.001323 0.002015 0.002824 0.003714 0.004747
2025-11-02 2.551676e-04 0.000691 0.001262 0.001991 0.002852 0.003807 0.004922
2025-11-09 2.037225e-04 0.000640 0.001233 0.002002 0.002919 0.003941 0.005140
2025-11-16 1.509027e-04 0.000579 0.001187 0.001989 0.002954 0.004038 0.005314
2025-11-23 9.258290e-05 0.000508 0.001139 0.001992 0.003033 0.004211 0.005606
2025-11-30 5.290194e-05 0.000457 0.001114 0.002025 0.003150 0.004430 0.005953
2025-12-07 1.386421e-05 0.000375 0.001040 0.001992 0.003185 0.004556 0.006197
2025-12-14 9.303313e-07 0.000333 0.001020 0.002027 0.003302 0.004775 0.006546
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000314 0.001032 0.002102 0.003467 0.005051 0.006958
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000265 0.000991 0.002104 0.003541 0.005219 0.007247
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000231 0.000972 0.002133 0.003647 0.005422 0.007575
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000183 0.000918 0.002112 0.003687 0.005548 0.007812
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000146 0.000880 0.002110 0.003750 0.005698 0.008077
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000108 0.000828 0.002085 0.003782 0.005809 0.008295
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000084 0.000803 0.002096 0.003858 0.005973 0.008571